ALL Florida counties met the latest deadline on Saturday at noon to turn over their election totals.
Governor Rick Scott leads Sen. Nelson by 12,562 votes after three days of Broward and Palm Beach County ballot manufacturing operations.
This is down from his 80,000 vote lead on election night.
Broward and Palm Beach counties have been manufacturing ballots since Tuesday night.
National Review editor Charles C. W. Cooke posted a series of tweets on where things stand in Florida as of noon on Saturday.
Ron DeSantis now leads by 33,684 votes
Rick Scott now leads by 12,562 votes
Update: Broward has now reported its final vote totals, and in so doing cut DeSantis's lead to 33,684 (a reduction of 825), and Scott's lead to 12,562 (a reduction of 845). pic.twitter.com/zSyWVg0PIV
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
All 67 counties have turned in their vote counts.
Florida update. All 67 counties have now reported, and we have an unofficial vote tally. As it stands, DeSantis leads Gillum by 33,684, and Scott leads Nelson by 12,562. That will precipitate an automatic recount for DeSantis, and a manual recount for Scott. (1)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
Overseas ballots marked on November 6th will be included if they arrive by November 16th.
There are now two things left to do statewide: First, count yet-to-arrive overseas/military ballots; second, proceed to those mandatory recounts. All being equal, neither step looks as if it'll be enough for either Gillum or Nelson. (2)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
Around 20,000 overseas/military ballots have yet to be returned. Deadline for their return is the 16th. In reality, a lot of these will never be returned, will arrive too late, or will be rejected. (3)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
For the sake of argument, though, let's assume they're all returned—every last one. From what I can gather, we’re looking at ~5,000 military ballots, and then ~15,000 others from around the state. (4)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
Given that voters with no party also vote, the best we can do is apply known military registration rates to military data, and apply the results in each county thus far to the county data. If we do this, we get a net increase for both Nelson and Gillum of ~1600 votes. (5)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
That would yield a DeSantis lead of ~32,000, and a Scott lead of ~11,000. Which would require the recounts to flip, *net*, 16,000 votes to Gillum and 5,500 votes to Nelson. (6)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
Remember, that’s a generous estimate because we’re assuming every single outstanding overseas ballot comes in. But, for the sake of argument, let’s make it *more* generous, and assume these votes are twice as Democratic as has been the case thus far. Let's make it ~3,200. (7)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
Even in that generous scenario, DeSantis keeps a lead of 30,484, while Scott keeps a lead of 9,362. That means Gillum would need 15,242 votes to flip, and Nelson would need 4,681. That seems unlikely—although nothing is impossible. (8)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
Which brings us, finally, to Marc Elias's theory that the machines in Broward have undercounted the Senate line on the ballot by around 25,000 ballots. I doubt this—and Broward says it's not correct—but, arguendo, let's add it to our previous assumptions. Then what? (9)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
If we subtract the number of votes for Senate in Broward from the number of votes for Governor, we get 24,992. Assuming that these votes go as did the others, that adds just over 9,000 votes for Nelson. (It doesn't affect DeSantis.) Which leaves Scott with a lead of ~200. (10)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
Which is to say that, as it stands, Ron DeSantis is the next governor of Florida, and, barring some catastrophic errors in tabulation, or some remarkably creative lawyering, Rick Scott is Florida's next Senator. But it's Florida, so . . . (12/12)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
Deadline for the machine recount is November 15th at 3pm. Deadline for the manual recount is November 18th at noon. Deadline for remaining overseas/military ballots, which can be counted in the meantime, is November 16th (they must be postmarked on or before November 6th. (6)
— Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018
DeSantis is leading Gillum by 33,684 votes, a margin of 0.410%, his race will not be manually recounted—unless the automatic recount is so dramatic that it reduces the margin to 0.25% or below.
Rick Scott’s lead, however, is 12,562—0.154%—so a manual recount is guaranteed.
The post Charles C. W. Cooke: Current Totals Look Promising for Florida Republicans Scott and DeSantis appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.